Risk Watchlist · the escalation gap
The executive flag misses most of the windows that carry the loss
829 observations have a failure probability of 50% or more but sit at P3 or P4, carrying EGP 723M of financial exposure. The flag is a fixed banding of the Maintenance Priority Index, which weighs failure probability only moderately (r = 0.75). Only 134 observations reach P1 or P2.
⚠
⚠Decision for this page. Add a second
escalation trigger, failure probability ≥ 50% and criticality High or Critical, alongside the existing index bands.
That rule would escalate – more windows today. The table below lists every unescalated high-risk window, ranked by exposure; rows rated High or Critical are the rule's additions.
Escalation gap by site
High-risk observations flagged only P3/P4. Live.
Priority mix of the top 10% loss windows study
The 500 observations with the largest revenue loss, by the flag they received. P1/P2 cover only 26.5% of that loss.
Top 40 unescalated high-risk observations, by financial exposure
Live. One row is one 30-day window; Asset_ID is shown for traceability only, since it is not a stable asset key in this export.